TradeLens

RELIANCE options · implied move

Reliance Expected Move Today

The Reliance ATM straddle prices a move of ±32 points (±2.68%) by the 27 Oct 2026 expiry, an implied range of 1,177 to 1,241.

Data as of 21 Oct 2026 EOD, NSE F&O bhavcopy

Expected move
±32
±2.68% of spot
ATM IV
26.1%
Annualised
Range low
1,177
Spot 1,208.99
Range high
1,241
6 calendar days to expiry

Reliance positioning range

TradeLens also publishes a range envelope that blends max pain, the gamma flip and the call and put walls. When it sits inside the straddle-implied range, positioning is tighter than volatility pricing.
Reliance implied and positioning ranges
RangeLowHighWidth
Straddle-implied1,1771,24165
TradeLens range envelope1,1951,22529
Put wall to call wall1,1601,25090

Reliance expected move by expiry

Reliance expected move by expiry
ExpiryExpected moveLowHigh
27 Oct 2026±321,1771,241
23 Nov 2026±761,1331,285

How the expected move is calculated

The at-the-money straddle (buying the ATM call and the ATM put) pays off if Reliance moves far enough in either direction, so its price is the market's estimate of how far Reliance will travel by expiry. TradeLens uses the straddle's end-of-day settlement price as the expected move, and falls back to the IV formula below when settlement prices are missing.

The volatility view is spot × ATM IV × √(days to expiry ÷ 365), one standard deviation. The straddle comes to roughly 0.8 times that figure, so it is a slightly tighter band.

Combine it with dealer positioning: in a positive gamma regime realised moves often undershoot the implied move; in negative gamma they can overshoot. The Reliance max pain level shows where open interest may pull price into expiry.

More Reliance options data

Frequently asked questions

What is the expected move?
It is the move in Reliance that the options market is pricing in by expiry, read from the price of the at-the-money straddle (ATM call plus ATM put) at the end-of-day settlement.
How often does the price stay inside the expected move?
The straddle price is close to 0.8 standard deviations of the implied distribution, so if options were fairly priced expiry would land inside the range a little over half the time. Option premiums often carry a volatility risk premium, so the range has tended to hold somewhat more often, with sharp exceptions around events.
What is ATM IV?
ATM IV is the implied volatility of the at-the-money Reliance option, annualised. TradeLens calculates it from the option's price.
How do traders use the expected move?
Option sellers often place short strikes outside the expected range; buyers use it to judge whether a target is realistic before expiry. It frames size of move, not direction.
Why does the expected move differ by expiry?
Longer-dated expiries have more time for price to move, so their straddles are more expensive. Comparing the expected move across expiries also shows whether an event is priced into a particular week.

Positioning data, not investment advice. Trading in derivatives involves substantial risk of loss.